The Northeast Part of The Area Has Been Placed Under a Slight Risk for Severe Weather
By Devontae Jackson on Thursday, July 26, 2018, at 5:20 PM.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed part of the Miami Valley under a slight risk for severe weather. This means thunderstorm we see in the slight risk outlined area has a better chance of turning severe. The SPC has taken the slight risk for severe weather out of our area some. The rest of the area is under a marginal risk for severe weather. That means a few storms could become strong to possibly severe.
In the last severe weather update, I talked about how all our severe weather threats were low. I have brought wind up to moderate as we could see more damaging winds this evening. Small hail will still be something we have to watch out for tonight as well, even though it is low. The chance of a tornado and flooding is still low also.
A line of showers and storms will develop and move southeast. CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) values have come up from this morning into this afternoon. The higher the CAPE values, the better the chance that thunderstorms could develop. The line of shower and storms will enter the northwest part of the area (Jay County in Indiana and Mercer County in Ohio). Between 5 PM and 6 PM this evening. The line will continue southeast, reaching the Dayton metro area between 7 PM and 8 PM. The line should then move out of the area. Otherwise, be southeast of Wilmington, around midnight.